Money is an idea backed with confidence. Trading Forex currency pairs is the idea. The confidence part is the standard following of the conditions and combinations in actually trading. All the knowingness you will ever have is already there, and it is summed up in be. (BE a highly successful trader. That’s unfortunately the entire secret to trading successfully.)
The Foundation: The Trading Rules, and Risk and Money Management
While following the four trading rules and proper money management techniques, we cannot ever lose money in the long run. The foundation of everything we do is tied to the four trading rules, and risk and money management. Everything else is built around that super strong foundation that is on super strong land. Everything else adds certainty or much higher probabilities on market movement direction.
Strength or Weakness Divergeneces are There or Not There
Signals are either there or not there. It’s not ever “close”. It’s not ever “almost there”. It’s not ever “forming”. There is no such thing as “maybe”. It is either there, or it is not there. If it is not clearly there, you’re on the wrong chart. There are no shades of grey. It’s yes, or it’s no. (I’m not always all “Aristotelian” in my logic, but it’s necessary here.)
We find that by locating specific patterns of discrepancies in waves in time, starting with future strength on a bigger chart, combined with agreement in past weakness on charts below the future strength, all agreeing on which way the market will move, we can accurately predict market direction, at least for a while.
We continually combine conditions and patterns of strength and weakness in temporal agreement on direction. In other words, for example, if we have strength to move up, we want to see weakness in downward motion on smaller charts. Strength on bigger charts combined with counter-directional weakness on smaller charts is what we want. We trade strength. We trade “Strengthenings”.
Every signal, every motion on the indicators and market, every wave have their respective aspects of strength and weakness. Combining these aspects in real time to get agreement on direction is what we do in predicting market action. It’s all about discrepancies in comparable waves in time.
Higher probabilities are still less certain than certainties. Thus, if we are trading the higher probabilities, we must be tighter on our stops. When we are trading our certainties, we can be looser on our stops. The certainties are the line-ups from a next chart in time that can push the market farther in a direction. The higher probability trades are given to us solely in the form of weakness with no larger chart future strength.
The answer to the question, “Is the market done moving in the direction it is currently moving (at least for now)?” is the exact same answer as the question, “Do we have a line-up from a next chart that can push the market right now?” Line-ups show our future strength(s) and our past weakness(es) to give us certainty that the market will move in the direction we say it will move.
We only ever work from the last larger line-up (and determine where we are in that line-up, as given by time) and now. We project into the future by determining what must happen to give us the conditions we must have to have a trade, or to continue in a trade.
When to ignore signals and/or line-ups is equally as important as when to heed them. The answer of when to ignore is found in TIME.
Time is nothing more than advanced wave theory (not ever to be covered on this blog, but in the coming membership site here (with a free option, too), and properly read, time has no more meaning than waves.
There is no such thing as the market behaving improperly. There is only reading the charts properly or improperly. The market is never wrong in what it is doing because it is doing it and you agree to it.
If you have any comments or questions, please ask or leave them. I’ll get to you as soon as I possibly can. Stay great and trade your favorite currency pair well! 